Amazon stepping up attack on counterfeits, China holiday schedule changes affecting your production

Here are two pieces of news that I’d like to share with you this week.

First – Is this the end of fakes on Amazon? Amazon is stepping up their attack against counterfeit products. In an invite-only program called Amazon Project Zero, they are leveraging machine learning to automate the process of weeding out counterfeit products for sale on their platform.

Sounds promising but how well it actually works is anyone’s guess. Checkout the details and if you’re interested you can sign up for their waitlist here – Amazon Project Zero.

Secondly policies in China continue to change at breakneck speeds.

In recent memory, Environmental regulation laws shut down thousands of factories with little warning.

Now, even the official holiday schedule has changed. According to Baidu News, the 2019 Labor Day holiday was originally stated to be only 1 day long on May 1st but now has been extended to four days from May 1-4.

Takeaway – This may affect your factory production schedules so be forewarned!

Why the change? In most countries, holiday schedules are usually set in stone but in China things are a lot more fluid.

Why the change? In my opinion with a weakening economy it makes sense to incentivize consumer spending to try to stimulate the economy. While one day is too short for taking a trip, 4 days should be enough to make a holiday out of it along with travel, hotel, shopping, and some wining and dining.

In any case things continue to move fast and furiously in China.  

How about in your country. Obviously in the US things are changing with the Trump tariffs. But do you have an example of policies changing quickly in your country with little warning?

Hit reply and let me know.

Gary

[VIDEO] making a decision on a supplier – pros and cons

Recently one of my coaching students was stuck making a decision choosing between several suppliers for his private label product.

One of the suppliers offered a better price, lower MOQ, but had quality issues. The second supplier had better quality, but at a higher price and larger MOQ.

I recorded this short 5 min video where I breakdown the decision making process.

  • What criteria to evaluate suppliers upon
  • What’s the one thing you should NEVER neglect if you’re an amazon seller
  • What I would do as next steps when I’m “on the fence” between suppliers
  • What we can takeaway from Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos’ decision-making strategy to overcome analysis paralysis

Check out this YouTube video I recorded and let me know if you agree.

Thanks,

Gary

Is the US-China Trade War really coming to an end? Or is it too good to be true?

Last weekend, US and Chinese trade representatives frantically met around the clock in an effort to beat the March 1st deadline that marked the end of the 90 day truce.   

Apparently both sides have made significant progress and President Trump announced that he is willing to extend the March 1st deadline in which the tariffs were to increase.  

This means that if your imported products are currently hit by a 10% increase in import tariffs they will NOT rise to 25% on March 1st as originally planned.

The media has been playing up this story recently.  And the US stock market rallied with the seemingly good news.  

But does this mean the trade war is coming to an end?  

In my opinion, not just yet.  

Although there are talks of both sides close to signing a deal, nothing concrete has been reached yet.  So far it’s just a lot of talk.

In my years of working with US and Chinese businesses, I have learned to never jump to conclusions.  

In other words DON’T count your eggs before they hatch.

Things can change very quickly and unexpectedly.

To illustrate I’d like to share with you a story when I first moved to Shanghai and searching for apartments.  After looking high and low, I finally found one that was in a great location, had good furnishings… AND the rent was even affordable!  I was ecstatic to find such a gem.

After viewing the apartment and meeting the landlord, I made a good impression on her and she was willing to rent to me.  She said that we could sign the deal next week and I agreed.

However, the night before we were to sign the contract, the landlord called and claimed that her daughter was returning from overseas and needed a place to live so she was no longer renting out the apartment.  

Even though we had a verbal agreement, in the end things changed and I was left high and dry and back to the apartment hunt.

Similar variations of this story have happened to me countless times in China over the years.

The conclusion is either I’m a sucker OR we should NOT take someone’s words at face value.

And my lesson learned is that if someone agrees verbally, I will press them to sign a deal in WRITING ASAP before they change their mind!

Keeping this in mind, with the US-China trade deal, until both sides have an agreement in writing I’m concerned that circumstances may change and the 10% increase in tariffs may still rise to 25%.  

Will there be an agreement made?  It’s possible.

But the bright side is, tariffs will not increase just yet on your ecommerce products.

The story continues.  

Meanwhile I’m curious what’s your take on this?  If you’re importing products from China to the US, how are you playing your hand given this uncertainty in how the tariffs will turn out?  Let me know.

-Gary

[VIDEO] Ordering product samples? Don’t make the same rookie mistake I made when I first started sourcing from China

Recently I was asked by Global Sources to share best practices about buying product samples from Chinese suppliers.  

I never skip this step in the process because this is like auditioning an actor before you hire them for a role.  

Imagine if you are Steven Spielberg casting a new lead actor for your next blockbuster movie.  If you’re considering some new unknown actors would you blindly hire him without first interviewing him?  Of course not!

You would want to bring them in for an audition so they can recite some lines so you can get a flavor for their skills, character, and ultimately decide if they’re a good fit for the role before you commit to signing a hundreds of thousands of dollars to them!

Well the same logic applies to evaluating a new potential supplier for your private label product.  

Watch this short 8 min video to get a crash course on ordering product samples from your suppliers.  

In this action packed video you will learn:

  • Why you should never skip ordering product samples
  • How you can protect your designs and “IP” when requesting samples so they don’t get stolen
  • The ROOKIE MISTAKE I made when I first started and what you can learn from it
  • How should you select a supplier if all the samples seem the same?  
  • Why Gary DOESN’T recommend 1688.com for most private label sellers
  • What you can do to build relationships or “Guanxi” with Chinese suppliers

-Gary

PS: What’s the #1 takeaway you learned from this video?  Comment below and let me know!

Chinese New Year Sourcing Best Practices

Here in Shanghai the streets are quiet and eerily empty this week. Is there some sort of disease outbreak like SARS going on?

No, but there’s an event just as impactful in China – Chinese New Year.

During the past few weeks and next couple weeks, normally responsive Chinese suppliers will go silent and not responsive to your RFQs and emails.

So to help you better understand why things shut down for up to A MONTH in china during the “Spring Festival” I’d like to share two articles with you.

First “Chinese New Year best practices” and what you can do to prepare and minimize the disruption.

Granted we are already in the middle of the holiday now, it may still be useful to understand why factories will be sluggish after they return. I call it the CNY hangover.
https://www.8020sourcing.com/chinesenewyear/

Also to plan ahead this year so you’re not surprised by the next Chinese holiday, I’ve created a 2019 China Public holidays calendar (Downloadable). You can download and plug it into your own calendar on your smartphone or laptop so you can see the holidays coming.

Often times the Chinese suppliers themselves will not be aware of them because the dates change every year.
https://www.8020sourcing.com/80-20-sourcing-2019-chinese-public-holiday-calendar/

Wishing you a happy, healthy, successful, and blessed new year!

Gary

PS: are you planning to visit china this year? I’m thinking of organizing a tour of a local trade show or yiwu marketplace. Are you interested in this? Hit reply and let me know.

The Art of Guanxi – Building Better Relationships with Chinese Suppliers to Build Better Business

If you’ve contacted Chinese suppliers you may have noticed something lying under the surface of all of your emails, conversations, and wechat message exchanges.  

Sometimes it’s not just what is said but what is UNSAID that matters more.  This is the case in doing business with China.

The concept of Guanxi is one of the most important factors of successfully doing business with China.

Guanxi can be literally translated as relationships or connections.  And in China Guanxi is the basis for business and personal interactions.  

As a American based in Shanghai who’s worked with hundreds of Chinese suppliers over the past 10 years, I’ve noticed 4 key factors that Guanxi boils down to: Trust, Respect, Time, and Face.  

The more you have of each factor the greater the Guanxi you have with your partner.  

You might be thinking…

Why is it important to build Guanxi with your Chinese supplier?  

Here are some benefits that you will enjoy when you have good Guanxi

Better pricing – the better relationship you have with your supplier and the more they trust you, the more likely they are to offer lower prices to you.  It makes sense because they value your business and a lower price will make it more likely to keep your business.

Let’s take an example of sourcing widget A from a supplier.  I’ve worked with them beginning in 2016 and have secured a FOB quote of US9.90 to start.  Over time as order volumes grew, I was able to negotiate the price down to $9.70/pc.

Because of my strong relationship or Guanxi with this supplier as I’ve ordered over $100k of inventory over time, they are willing to maintain this pricing for me.

If however you were to approach the same supplier today, they will quote you over $10-$11 for the same item.  Why? Because you are new to them, you have no past track record, and they don’t know or trust you.

Better Guanxi = Better Prices.

Lower Minimum Order Quantities (MOQ)

The same rule applies to minimum order quantities or MOQ.  Because of the greater trust, the more they’re willing to look past the short term lower initial order and more towards the long term business relationship with you.  

And this doesn’t happen with someone you’ve just met on Alibaba.

Better payment terms (which means more cash flow for your business)

Normally initial payment terms suppliers offer you may be a 30% deposit and 70% due before shipment.  As I build Guanxi with suppliers I’m able to get payment terms in 0% deposit and balance due upon shipment.  In other cases you can get even better payment terms of Net 30 or Net 60 and this really helps free up your cash flow.  

But this can only be obtained through trust, respect, time, and face in the form of Guanxi.  

Less risk of them revealing your IP to competitors

Though not 100% failsafe, as a general rule the better the Guanxi you have with your supplier, the less likely they are to reveal your designs and intellectual property to competitors or knock them off and sell them as their own.  

Obviously it’s smart to have contracts in place to protect yourself.  And having a strong relationship or Guanxi in place will help cement the deal.  

More attention to your order for potentially better quality and fewer mistakes

Murphy’s Law states that whatever bad can happen will happen.  Product defects, mistakes, delays, etc will happen to everyone.  The frequency of this can be reduced with greater Guanxi.

Over time, my relationship with my supplier has put more pressure on them to deliver according to plan.  They know that my business is important to them and they will put in the extra effort to make sure that their engineers and production line managers pay more attention to my order when the time comes.  

Priority in production – shorter delivery times

Sometimes having good Guanxi is almost like having a friend in the factory.  When my inventory is running low and I need my order expedited, sometimes my sales representative will be able to shave a few days off the delivery time.  I’ve built a positive relationship with him over time.

More cooperative to your requests

The more clout or Guanxi you have with a supplier the more willing they are to listen to your requests to tweak the product.  Or to create custom packaging.

For example to add my company logo engraved onto the product (for free), to print my custom designed packages, and to consider my feedback in future product designs.  

On the other hand, someone without Guanxi may get ignored by the supplier if they made the same requests.  

80/20 Rule – Build Guanxi to be treated like a VIP

In conclusion, building Guanxi with a Chinese supplier is like the concept of reaping what you sow.

You will need to plant the seeds, and take care of them, water them, and make sure they don’t dry out to grow the relationship over time with your supplier so you can reap the benefits later.

Conversely, if you walk into an empty garden from day 1 and try to make a big harvest you will be disappointed.  You cannot expect to harvest anything without investing work and time into it.

What happens if you ignore Guanxi?

80/20 Rule- If you ignore Guanxi, then you are just another looky-loo to them and they will treat you like a nobody

This means that you are fighting an uphill battle.

When you try to negotiate for lower prices they will refuse to budge.

They may refuse your requests to lower MOQ (when it is possible if you play your cards right).

They may refuse to cater to your requests for modifications to the product changes.

They may even be more careless with your order production leading to more mistakes, defects, and headaches.

Poor Guanxi may lead to longer lead times as their VIPs cut the line to get their orders delivered in front of yours.

Also it may lead to poor communication, lower response rates, and overall difficulty in doing business together.

So remember to build Guanxi you will need to build trust, respect, and face, over time.

What to learn more?  

I’ve created video course called 80/20 Sourcing Essentials that will show you the exact ways I build Guanxi with Chinese suppliers to build better business as you launch your initial private label product.

This way I can get them to work WITH me rather than against me.  When problems arise they are cooperative in getting them fixed so I can ship out my product and start selling.  With pricing they say my pricing is much lower than the prices they quote to people that reach out to them on Alibaba.  And this is just the tip of the iceberg.

And I also show you what NOT to do so you won’t offend them and burn your bridges.

These strategies took me years to learn based on my own successes and mistakes.  

“A smart man learns from his mistakes… A wise man learns from the mistakes of others”

One of the common mistakes I see newbies make is that they try to build Guanxi with EVERYONE.  This is a waste of time. Just as in the dating game, you’re not trying to take every boy/girl out you see to dinner right?  I hope not! Otherwise you are seriously wasting your time and money on the ones that are not a good fit.

I will show you the exact signs of a trustworthy supplier that you will WANT to build a relationship with.  And the red flags of suppliers you want to avoid so you don’t get scammed out of your hard earned money.

Finally in terms of product selection I will show you the 11 ways to find profitable products away from the crowds.  

If you start out at the same place as everyone else you’ll end up at the same place as everyone else.  I will show you methods that I’ve used to identify profitable products that I’ve used to build and scale 6 figure businesses with.

Join today

READER QUESTION – Chinese supplier pricing increases and how to deal with them

I received the reader question recently and recorded a short video about:

  • Shipping FOB vs CIF quotations and what the difference is
  • Whether to use a suppliers freight forwarder to ship your products and…
  • Should you expect prices to be increasing and reasons why

80/20 Sourcing – 2019 Chinese Public Holiday Calendar

Happy New Year!

As we are turning our calendars to 2019, I’d like to share with you the 2019 Chinese Public Holiday Calendar so you can plan ahead if you’re sourcing products from China.

As you may know, Chinese holidays fall on different dates every year (kind of like Easter or Thanksgiving) because they are based on the lunar calendar.

Long story short, here are the official public holidays in China below.  Chinese New Year or Spring Festival is the biggie. Despite officially only being 7 days, in actuality workers will leave work much earlier than the official start and return much later (if at all).  So the actual impact could be UP TO A MONTH.

Furthermore, the length of each holiday is not fixed every year.  Certain holidays have been shortened from prior years. For example the Labor day holiday in May used to be a weeklong holiday but now it is only 3 days.

To make things even more confusing, for certain holidays there are additional work make-up days before or after the holiday so workers will be expected to work on the weekend in order to get more continuous days off during the week.  For example for (Western) New Year’s day, the holiday is for 3 days from 12/30 to 1/1 but Sat 12/29 is a workday! I know, things can get confusing here in China!

Best practice: So plan ahead and keep this handy if you’re expecting a shipment around these dates.  Interestingly enough, many suppliers themselves aren’t on top of these dates as they are quoting you shipping lead times (happens more often than you’d think) so I would be proactive to ask if those dates include XYZ holiday as you can find below.

To make things easier for you I’ve included a calendar entry for the dates which you can add automatically to your calendar on your smartphone or computer.

You can signup to get it here.

2019 Chinese Public Holidays

Holiday Dates Total Days
New year’s Day Dec 30 to Jan 1 3
Spring Festival (Chinese New Year) Feb 4 to Feb 10 7
Tomb Sweeping Day April 5 to April 7 3
Labor Day May 1 1
Dragon Boat Festival June 7 to June 9 3
Mid Autumn Festival Sept 13 to Sept 15 3
National Day Oct 1 to Oct 7 7

 

Good luck and have a great year ahead!

Gary

A Truce in the US-China Trade War? And what it means for your ecommerce business

UPDATE: I’d like to share the latest updates from the US-China Trade War:

The 90 day truce will expire on March 1st and tariffs will go rise 10% to 25% on the $200 billion unless both sides reach a deal.

Reportedly both sides are far apart as a US Trade Delegation is visiting Beijing this week – it’s been like “Like Pulling Teeth”.

In a surprise move – Trump says he’s OPEN to let the March 1st deadline “SLIDE” if a deal is imminent.  We’ll see how this pans out in the next few weeks.

-Gary

PS: Are you a fan of Shark Tank?  If so, checkout a new youtube series called “The 5 Minute Pitch” to learn how entrepreneurs like you have discovered profitable product ideas and are pitching their ideas in 5 minutes to a panel of judges for a chance to win $50,000. 

It’s hosted by Greg Mercer (Jungle Scout), Mike Jackness (Ecom Crew), Scott Voelker (The Amazing Seller), and Steve Chou (My Wife Quit Her Job) who are the judges.  

I love how the entrepreneurs break down their PROCESS 
  • how they found a profitable idea
  • how they are differentiating their product,
  • and how they plan to execute the business plan.  (Sound familiar?). 
And this is great learning for entrepreneurs and private label sellers!  I especially liked the Cat in the Box and the Best in class Coffee Grinder. Check out this free new show here.

 

Last week President Trump and President Xi met in Argentina over a dinner meeting during the G20 Summit.  Besides probably having an amazing steak dinner, they reached an agreement to set a 90 day truce or halt in the trade war while both parties sit down at the negotiating table to restore balance in trade

The White House released a statement saying that China has agreed to purchase significant “agricultural, energy, industrial, and other product from the US”.

Also China is allegedly considering allowing more access to its market, greater protection for intellectual property, and stopping exports of drug fentanyl into the US markets which has led to much abuse and deaths.  The specifics of the treaty are beyond the scope of what we’re concerned with but as e-commerce sellers.

But here is the Key takeaway as far as you’re concerned.

A 90 day truce in the trade tariffs means that the $200bn in tariffs will be kept at 10% during the truce.  They will not be raised to 25% on Jan 1, 2019 as previously believed

But at end of 90 days, if no agreement is reached, then the tariffs will jump to 25% as previously stated according to White House representative Jill Sanders.

What does this mean?

The good news is that if your products are part of the $200bn package, then your tariffs will be kept at 10% during the truce as both sides are negotiating for a deal.  They will not rise to 25% on Jan 1, 2019.

However you’re not out of the woods yet.

Whether there will be a “Real Deal” as Trump calls it or more clashing between both sides, time will tell!

But at least the tariffs are not increasing as far as we’re concerned in the next 90 days.  

Not sure if your products are covered in the tariffs?  

The US Trade Representative office has released an online search tool that lets you search for your product by HS Code to see if they are included in the tariffs.  You can access it here:

How to Navigate the Section 301 Tariff Process

To be continued..

Gary

Beware: Air and Sea Shipping rates from China on the rise before Q4 and CNY and with more China Tariffs looming

As we get closer to the holidays, more and more shipments from China are trying to beat the holiday rush to get their products onto store shelves in the US and around the world.

Because of this, shipping rates skyrocket around this time every year in the 4th quarter or holiday shopping season.  This is magnified as e-commerce is playing a bigger role as more products need to arrive in to be sold on Amazon and other online marketplaces for gift giving season.

What’s different this year is that there’s the additional factor in the China tariffs.  There is a key date to pay attention to if your products are currently tariffed with an additional 10% as of November 2018.

Barring any last minute changes to the tariff policies, on Jan 1, 2019 these tariffs will rise from 10 to 25%.  

As a result, freight forwarders have told me there is a surge in shipments of tariffed products that are rushing to land them in the US before the Jan 1 cutoff date.  

This “double whammy” of pre-holiday shipment rush PLUS the race to beat the tariff rate increase is causing shipping freight rates to increase even more than the standard seasonal rate increases seen past years.

Why does this matter?  

From the ecommerce sellers perspective, when shipping costs rise this will squeeze your margins.  This could make the difference between a product with healthy margins and a product that has thin margins or one that may even become unprofitable.

Who is affected?

If you have shipments in production now in China and plan to ship them from China to the US (or EU) you will be affected between November and February you will be affected.  

Which shipping routes are affected?  

Routes originating from China to US are especially impacted due to increased demand from a combination of holiday seasonality and trade tariffs.  

Routes from China to the EU will be affected as well due to Q4 and Pre-Chinese New Year high demand price increases.

When will the peak season high shipping rates end?

Freight forwarders have told me that rate increases are in line with the surge in demand from Nov-Dec all the way until Chinese New Year in February.  

Note however that things may change based on the outcome of the tariffs being negotiated between Trump and Xi and this will affect freight rates in Q1.  

But as a general rule of thumb, expect peak season rates to continue until after Chinese New Year in February.

Are sea shipments affected?

YES

Are air shipments affected?

According to Flexport: “Air freight capacity is continuing to tighten and rates are continuing to rise as we push further into peak season. Because e-commerce draws out the amount of time consumers have to purchase goods, a break in the market is not expected between the December holidays and Chinese New Year.”

I would expect longer delivery times for air shipments due to the increased number of shipments.  

For example, in previous years some Fedex shipments that normally took 7 days to arrive from Shenzhen, China to Dallas, Texas were taking as much as 21 days during the pre-holiday rush!  

What do you think is the wise thing to do if the shipping numbers just come back as too high?

I recommend the following:

  • Get the best price shipping rate possible – Shop around for better quotations.  Some forwarders may offer more competitive rates than others. But realistically given the peak in shipping demand you may not save much.
  • Consider your overall product strategy and if this may make your product unprofitable.  Given the increase in trade tariffs, a lot of ecommerce sellers are reconsidering their overall business strategies.  
  • Consider holding back on growth and investments until this period of uncertainty passes.
  • Experiment with adjusting prices higher to see if the market can absorb these price increases.  At the same time they are testing if they can maintain their profit margins this way.
  • Re-negotiating prices with their Chinese suppliers to get them to absorb some of this additional cost to maintain the business relationship.

“With crisis comes opportunity.”

In Chinese, the word Crisis is made of two characters: “Danger” and “Opportunity”

In other words during a time of crisis there is both DANGER and OPPORTUNITY.  I believe this describes the current situation perfectly.

First there is a danger to your business given these cost increases from increased shipping rates and China tariffs.  If you ignore or do not adapt then your business may die.

But at the same time there is an silver lining.  Now is time for you to innovate, optimize, or pivot your business and look for new opportunities.

Within these seemingly challenging times smart sellers will seek more competitive shipping options, reconsider the product that is underperforming, test pricing to see if the market can absorb the increase and end up with higher margins, and look for new horizons in countries to source products from that are not affected by tariffs.

I’m curious what will you do with the looming shipping rate and tariff increases?  Hit reply and let me know!

 

-Gary